The yield on India’s 10-year G-Sec rose toward 7.1%, nearing a fresh one-month high, as renewed geopolitical tensions pushed global oil prices higher. The recent surge in oil, following attacks on shipping routes in the Strait of Hormuz and damage to oil infrastructure, has intensified inflation worries in India. At the same time, currency weakness has added upward pressure on yields, with the rupee breaching the 95-per-dollar mark. Market participants also caution that persistently elevated energy prices could widen the fiscal deficit and further complicate the inflation outlook, reinforcing a more cautious tone in the bond market. However, the upside in yields may be capped, as New Delhi plans to sell a new 10-year bond worth INR 340 billion ($3.58 billion) this week, which could help anchor demand.

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