Soybean futures fell below $11.5 per bushel, reaching a one-month low as a temporary US–Iran ceasefire triggered a sharp drop in crude oil prices and weighed on crop-based biofuel demand. The two-week truce helped ease fears of prolonged supply disruptions, following weeks of constrained flows through the Strait of Hormuz that had disrupted fuel and fertilizer shipments critical to agricultural production.

A sharp drop in oil prices added pressure to vegetable oils such as soy, which are closely tied to energy markets through biofuel demand. US soybean exports also came under pressure from weak demand and stiff competition from South America. Weekly export sales for the 2025/26 season fell to 353,300 tons, down 18% from the prior four-week average, highlighting subdued overseas interest as cheaper Brazilian supplies continue to dominate. Elsewhere, markets remained focused on potential US–China trade talks, with hopes of stronger demand from China, the world’s largest soybean importer.

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