Sugar futures in the US rose toward 15 US cents, moving back close to a one-month on expectations of reduced output. The USDA’s May WASDE report revised down 2025/26 US sugar production due to weak beet sugar recovery and timing effects in Florida, partially offset by higher raw sugar imports, while overall use remained unchanged. For 2026/27, beet sugar production is expected to decline due to reduced planted area and weaker yields, while cane sugar production is also projected to fall as weather-related damage in Florida outweighs modest gains in other producing areas. Recently, Green Pool Commodity Specialists revised its estimate of the global sugar deficit for the 2026/27 crop year upward from 1.66 million to 4.30 million tons, reflecting expectations of increased ethanol production amid persistently elevated oil prices.

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