U.S natural gas futures hovered around $2.72 per MMBtu, near their lowest level since November 2024, as milder weather forecasts signaled weaker demand. Temperatures projected to stay mostly warmer than normal through April 23, keeping heating needs subdued. Analysts noted that the early spring warmth has enabled larger-than-usual storage injections, with inventories projected to reach about 5% above normal for the week ended April 3, up from 3% above normal the previous week.

Meanwhile, Israeli strikes in Lebanon raised doubts over whether President Trump’s ceasefire agreement with Iran would hold. The latest attack prompted Iran to block the Strait of Hormuz, though the White House denies the waterway is closed. Despite the geopolitical uncertainty, US natural gas remain largely insulated from the overseas disruptions, as domestic export terminals are already operating near full capacity.

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