The S&P Global UAE PMI fell to 50.8 in June 2026 from 52.6 in the previous month, signaling the weakest improvement in non-oil private sector business conditions since February 2021. Business activity expanded at its slowest pace in five years as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, cautious client spending, and intense competition weighed on growth. New business growth accelerated to a three-month high but remained well below its historical average as customers delayed spending decisions and tourism activity stayed subdued. Employment declined for the first time in more than four years, posting its sharpest contraction since August 2020. Meanwhile, purchasing activity rebounded after May’s decline as businesses restocked inventories. However, input cost inflation remained elevated, driven by higher transport fees and commodity prices. Despite softer current activity, business confidence stayed broadly stable, supported by confirmed contracts and continued government investment.

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