UK 10-year gilt yields held steady at 4.93%, slightly below two-week highs, after Iran and Israel agreed to de-escalate strikes following an appeal from US President Donald Trump. The conflict had previously driven crude prices higher on Monday, as fears grew that the ceasefire could collapse. Rising energy costs from the tensions have fueled inflation concerns, leading investors to price in at least a 25-basis-point rate hike by the Bank of England in September, with a strong likelihood of a second increase. Meanwhile, dovish Monetary Policy Committee member Alan Taylor, who supported the 8-1 vote to hold rates in April, stated on Monday that current interest rates are “quite restrictive” and saw no need for further tightening to curb inflation.

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