The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note climbed to around 4.48% on Monday as investors assessed evolving developments in US-Iran peace negotiations while awaiting a key US inflation report. Reports suggested that Washington and Tehran had agreed on a roadmap toward a final agreement within 60 days, helping ease market concerns after both sides recently exchanged fresh threats related to the conflict in Lebanon. Attention now turns to this week’s US PCE price index release, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation. Last week, the Fed left interest rates unchanged but adopted a more hawkish tone. Nine of the 19 Fed policymakers now project at least one rate increase before year-end, with markets increasingly pricing in a potential hike as early as September. Higher rate expectations continued to provide support for Treasury yields.

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