The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note climbed to around 4.47% on Monday, recovering from three-week lows as prospects for a longer-term ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran remained uncertain. Over the weekend, Washington and Tehran exchanged proposals seeking revisions to a draft deal that would extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, though there were few signs that the negotiations were making meaningful progress. Meanwhile, investors turned their attention to the highly anticipated US nonfarm payrolls report, which could offer fresh insight into labor market conditions and the future path of Federal Reserve policy. Markets are increasingly betting on the possibility of a Fed rate hike before the end of the year after inflation accelerated, marking a significant shift from earlier expectations of interest rate cuts.

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