The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note climbed to around 4.3%, recovering from three-week lows as a fragile US-Iran ceasefire kept investors cautious about inflation risks. Iranian media reported that oil tanker transit through the Strait of Hormuz remained suspended following fresh Israeli strikes on Lebanon, while a senior Iranian official said three provisions of the ceasefire proposal had already been violated.

On Wednesday, Treasury yields had dropped sharply after the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, prompting a sudden fall in oil prices and easing inflation concerns. Meanwhile, minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting showed that a growing number of members saw a potential rate hike as necessary to curb inflation, though many still hoped the next move could be a cut. Investors now await February personal spending and the PCE deflator on Thursday, followed by Friday’s CPI report, for further guidance.

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