The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose to around 4.08% on Thursday, reversing the previous session’s decline and following a global rise in bond yields amid an increasingly hawkish monetary policy outlook in other major economies. Japan’s 10-year bond yield surged to a fresh 18-year high on speculation that the Bank of Japan could raise interest rates later this month, with an auction of 30-year JGBs drawing the strongest demand since 2019. Australia’s 10-year yield also climbed to a more than 1-year high as strong economic data reinforced expectations of a Reserve Bank rate hike next year. Meanwhile, a surprise decline in US private payrolls added to concerns about a weakening labor market and strengthened bets for a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Markets are also weighing the possibility that White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett could replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell in May, potentially paving the way for more aggressive easing.

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