The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note held its recent advance near 4.35% on Wednesday as investors positioned ahead of the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision, which is expected to be Chair Jerome Powell’s final meeting before his term ends in May. The Fed is widely anticipated to keep interest rates unchanged, though markets will closely assess policymakers’ views on the economic impact of escalating tensions in the Middle East. Central banks in the EU, the UK, and Canada are also set to announce policy decisions this week, while the BOJ delivered a hawkish hold on Tuesday. Meanwhile, stalled US-Iran negotiations and the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz have kept inflation concerns elevated, contributing to upward pressure on Treasury yields. President Donald Trump was reportedly dissatisfied with Tehran’s latest proposal, insisting that nuclear issues be addressed from the outset of any agreement.

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