The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note held around 4.48% on Thursday, maintaining its recent gains as investors cautiously awaited the June jobs report for fresh insights into labor market conditions and greater clarity on the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. Data released on Wednesday showed private-sector hiring in the US slowed more than expected last month, while the ISM PMI indicated wholesale energy prices had returned to levels seen before the Middle East conflict. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh also said inflation expectations had eased over the past month, signaling there was no urgency to raise interest rates. However, he reiterated the central bank’s commitment to restoring price stability. Markets continue to price in more than a 60% chance of a Fed rate hike in September. Meanwhile, rising oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and signs of progress in indirect US-Iran talks pushed oil prices lower and eased inflation concerns.

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