US 10Y Yield Nears 7-Month High

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note rose above 4.7% on Tuesday, moving closer to its highest level since January as surging oil prices strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates. The move came amid continued uncertainty over efforts by the US and Iran to reach an agreement to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. After Tehran called for financial compensation over damages suffered during the conflict, Trump said he had directed US representatives to insist on compensation from Iran in any future negotiations, further complicating diplomatic efforts. Meanwhile, investors awaited key US inflation data due this week for additional guidance on the monetary policy outlook. Markets are now pricing in around a 51% probability of a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in September, up from 44% a day earlier. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said multiple rate increases could be necessary to bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.




