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Bonds

Australia 10Y Yield Rises Above 5%

Australia’s 10-year government bond yield rose above 5%, moving back toward multi-week highs after the Reserve Bank kept its cash rate unchanged at 4.35% for a second consecutive meeting, as widely expected. The unanimous decision came as the central bank said the economy was slowing as expected under tighter financial conditions, while keeping the option of another rate hike if upside inflation risks materialize. Markets had also expected rates to remain unchanged after second-quarter inflation came in below forecasts and the housing market weakened more than policymakers had anticipated. The RBA has already raised rates three times this year, as stubborn inflation and higher energy costs continued to weigh on the outlook. Markets now price around a 40% chance of another hike this year, down from 50% before the decision. Attention now turns to Governor Michele Bullock, who is due to testify before parliament on Friday, while Assistant Governor Chris Kent is scheduled on Thursday.

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