US 10Y Yield Pressured by Soft PPI

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note hovered around 4.56% on Thursday after falling for two straight sessions, as easing inflation pressures reduced expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve interest rate hike. Data released on Wednesday showed US producer prices unexpectedly fell in June for the first time in nearly a year, largely driven by lower energy costs, following Tuesday’s softer-than-expected consumer inflation report. Markets scaled back expectations for a Fed rate increase in September, with the implied probability dropping to around 44% from 50% a day earlier. Meanwhile, investors continued to monitor escalating attacks in the Middle East after the US launched additional strikes against Iranian targets. The renewed conflict pushed oil prices sharply higher this week, reviving concerns over inflation and the outlook for interest rates. Still, President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that Tehran had signaled a willingness to resume negotiations.

