Australia 10Y Yield Hovers Near 5-Week High

Australia’s 10-year government bond yield traded around 4.9%, hovering near a five-week high as escalating tensions in the Middle East drove oil prices higher and stoked inflation concerns. The US has launched yet another wave of strikes against Iranian coastal military assets and reinstated a naval blockade of Iran. Meanwhile, inflation expectations in Australia have moderated for a third month running to a six-month low of 4.7% in July 2026, down from 5.5% the previous month. Still, markets currently price only a 20% chance of a rate hike in August and around 60% odds by December. Traders now await upcoming key employment and inflation data due later this month for fresh clues on the policy outlook. Elsewhere, easing US inflation pressures reduced expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve interest rate hike, pulling US Treasury yields lower and limiting upward pressure on Australian government bonds.




