Bund Yield Nears 15-Year High on Oil Surge and ECB Rate Bets

Germany’s 10-year Bund yield rose to 3.18% on Thursday, approaching last week’s 15-year high above 3.2%, as surging oil prices reinforced expectations that the European Central Bank could raise interest rates again this year. Energy prices climbed as the conflict between the US and Iran intensified, with a drone reportedly striking a US-owned gas storage tanker at Egypt’s Mediterranean port of Damietta. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve added to market uncertainty on Wednesday by leaving interest rates unchanged despite three FOMC members dissenting in favor of a rate hike, while Chair Kevin Warsh offered no guidance on the future policy path. On the data front, stronger-than-expected GDP growth across major euro area economies and higher inflation readings in Germany and Spain reinforced expectations that the ECB could deliver a second rate hike this year, potentially as soon as September.




