Eurozone median inflation expectations for the next 12 months declined to 3.5% in May 2026, the lowest level in three months, down from 4.0% in each of the previous two months, which marked the highest reading since 2023. Consumers also expect house prices to rise by 3.6% over the next year, slightly below 3.7% in April. Expectations for mortgage interest rates were unchanged at 4.9%. Meanwhile, longer-term inflation expectations were steady, at 2.9% for three years ahead and 2.4% for five years ahead. Uncertainty around 12-month inflation expectations eased but remained elevated compared with levels seen before the outbreak of the Middle East conflict. Elsewhere, consumers’ expectations for nominal income growth over the next 12 months rose to 1.0% from 0.8% in April. Economic growth expectations for the year ahead improved to -1.7% from -2.2% and expectations for the unemployment rate 12 months ahead ticked up slightly to 11.3% from 11.2% in April.

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