
The offshore yuan edged lower to around 6.83 per dollar, ending a five-session winning streak, after the People’s Bank of China reaffirmed its cautious monetary easing stance, even as consumer inflation slowed and producer prices rebounded. Annual consumer inflation slowed more than expected to 1% in March 2026 from 1.3% in February, as the seasonal boost from holiday spending faded. The PBoC maintained its cautious stance at a quarterly meeting last month, signaling limited appetite for aggressive easing after a modest rate cut in 2025. Meanwhile, producer prices rose 0.5%, beating forecasts and marking the first increase since September 2022, driven partly by higher global energy costs amid Middle East tensions. While China’s strategic reserves and diversified energy supply have cushioned the impact, signs of domestic pass-through are emerging, as authorities raised retail fuel prices for the third time since late February. Over the week, the yuan is set for its second weekly gain.
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