The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note remained near recent lows at around 4.29% on Tuesday, as expectations for continued US-Iran negotiations helped ease inflation concerns. While talks over the weekend failed to produce an agreement, prompting President Donald Trump to announce a blockade targeting Iranian oil shipments, he later indicated that Tehran had made contact and is seeking to resume discussions. Hopes for a longer-term ceasefire and a potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz weighed on oil prices, reducing inflationary pressures and dialing back hawkish expectations for Federal Reserve policy. Meanwhile, Fed Governor Stephen Miran said the energy shock stemming from the Iran conflict has yet to feed into longer-term inflation expectations, adding that he expects price pressures to return to the central bank’s target within a year.
