- Silver price is down almost 1.5% as the US Dollar gains sharply.
- The Fed is not in a hurry to cut interest rates as officials seek clarity on US President Trump’s policies.
- Donald Trump is poised to announce detailed reciprocal tariffs on April 2.
Silver price (XAG/USD) plunges to near $33.10 during European trading hours on Thursday. The white metal weakens as the US Dollar (USD) gains sharply, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) climbing to near 104.00. The appeal of the US Dollar increases as the Federal Reserve (Fed) has expressed that it is no rush to cut interest rates soon amid “unusually elevated” uncertainty over the United States (US) economic outlook due to President Donald Trump’s economic policies.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in the press conference after the central bank left interest rates unchanged in the range of 4.25%-4.50% that Trump’s tariff policies tend to bring “growth down and inflation up”. The Fed also maintained its forecast of two interest rate cuts this year.
Technically, precious metals perform strongly in a high-inflation and low-growth environment, but higher interest rates by the Fed bode poorly for non-yielding assets, such as Silver.
The Fed has revised core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) for this year higher to 2.8% from 2.5% projected in the December meeting. The central bank has also revised GDP growth for this year lower to 1.7% from their previous forecast of 2.1%.
On the geopolitical front, investors seek fresh cues on Trump’s tariff policies. Trump has been reiterating that he will introduce reciprocal tariffs on April 2, means equal tariffs for same products. Such a scenario would prompt economic uncertainty across the globe. Historically, the appeal of precious metals increases in heightened global uncertainty.
Silver technical analysis
Silver price struggles to revisit the flat border of the Ascending Triangle chart pattern formation on the daily timeframe near the October 22 high of $34.87. The upward-sloping border of the above-mentioned chart pattern is placed from the August 8 low of $26.45. Technically, the Ascending Triangle pattern indicates indecisiveness among market participants.
Advancing 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $32.901 indicates that the uptrend is intact.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) falls below 60.00, suggesting that the bullish momentum has come to an end. However, the bullish bias is still intact.
Looking down, the March 6 high of $32.77 will act as key support for the Silver price. While, the October 22 high of $34.87 will be the major barrier.
Silver daily chart
