Germany’s 10 year Bund yield eased to 2.97% on Monday after rising more than 6 basis points on Friday, as lower oil prices reduced inflation concerns following signs of diplomatic progress between the US and Iran. Negotiators from both sides agreed on a roadmap toward a potential final agreement, supporting hopes of easing tensions in the Middle East. Oil markets reacted positively to the developments, despite President Donald Trump warning of possible military action if Hezbollah continues attacks on Israel. The US and Iran also established a communication channel aimed at preventing incidents and miscalculations, while discussions continue around restoring safe commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, money markets are pricing in at least one more European Central Bank rate increase this year, following the ECB’s recent 25 basis point hike that raised the deposit rate to 2.25%, marking the first increase since 2023.

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