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Malaysian palm oil futures steadied near MYR 4,900/t after recent declines, as firmer Dalian edible oil prices were offset by softer Chicago soyoils. Meanwhile, crude oil prices strengthened amid renewed U.S.–Iran hostilities, raising supply concerns and supporting sentiment. Rising El Niño risks added a bullish factor, with drier conditions threatening Southeast Asian production. Output in top producer Indonesia is projected to fall 2.9% to 56.8 million tons in 2027. Indonesia is also set to maintain its B50 biodiesel mandate next year, with implementation reportedly reaching 80% so far. Demand prospects improved in India, where refiners imported record soyoil volumes and the most palm oil in six months ahead of festivals. However, futures were set for a second weekly loss, pressured by weak exports, as cargo surveyors estimated August shipments fell 6.5–14.9% from July. Meanwhile, ample supply persisted, with Malaysian inventories at a five-month high in July.
