The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note climbed to around 4.31% on Thursday, reaching a more than one-week high as stalled US-Iran peace efforts and continued tensions in the Strait of Hormuz kept energy prices elevated and inflation risks in focus. Tehran continues to assert control over the strategic waterway, having seized two vessels, while the US blockade of Iranian ports remains in place.

Meanwhile, President Donald Trump said the current truce would remain in effect indefinitely as Washington awaits a new peace proposal from Iran. Inflation concerns have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged this year, a view supported by Fed nominee Kevin Warsh, who pledged to uphold the central bank’s independence from the White House. Investors now look ahead to weekly jobless claims and PMI data for further signals on the economic outlook.

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