The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note hovered around 4.4% on Thursday after falling roughly 10 basis points in the previous session to its lowest level in more than six weeks, as progress in US-Iran peace negotiations pushed oil prices back to pre-conflict levels and eased inflation concerns. Investors also continued to evaluate the outlook for Federal Reserve policy ahead of a key US inflation report that could help shape expectations for interest rates. Last week, the Fed signaled growing support for tighter monetary policy, with Chair Kevin Warsh reaffirming his commitment to bringing inflation under control. Market participants are now awaiting the latest PCE price index report, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation. Other major releases due include final first-quarter GDP data, May personal income and preliminary durable goods orders figures, as well as weekly jobless claims for the period ending June 20.

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