US natural gas futures held recent decline, hovering around $3.21 per MMBtu amid forecasts for a larger-than-usual weekly build in inventories. Gas stockpiles were estimated to rise by 61 bcf for the week ended July 3, exceeding the five-year average increase of 51 bcf for the same period, pointing to comfortable supply conditions. Meanwhile, weather forecasts indicate that temperatures will remain mostly above normal through July 23, likely keeping gas demand from power generators elevated. LNG export demand also remained firm, with average gas flows to major LNG export facilities rising to 17.8 bcfd so far in July, up from 17.4 bcfd in June. On the supply side, gas output in the Lower 48 states fell to 109.4 bcfd so far in July from 110.0 bcfd in June and was below the record monthly high of 110.6 bcfd reached in December 2025.

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