Global Markets
S&P 500 — US Large Cap Index
NASDAQ 100 — Tech Growth Index
Dow Jones — Industrial Average
FTSE 100 — UK Blue Chips
Euro Stoxx 50 — Eurozone Leaders
DAX 40 — German Equities
CAC 40 — French Market Index
Nikkei 225 — Japan Benchmark
Hang Seng — Hong Kong Index
Shanghai Composite — China Mainland
ASX 200 — Australian Market
TSX Composite — Canada Index
Nifty 50 — India Large Cap
STI Index — Singapore Market
KOSPI — South Korea Index
Bovespa — Brazil Equities
JSE Top 40 — South Africa Index
IPC Index — Mexico Market
S&P 500 — US Large Cap Index
NASDAQ 100 — Tech Growth Index
Dow Jones — Industrial Average
FTSE 100 — UK Blue Chips
Euro Stoxx 50 — Eurozone Leaders
DAX 40 — German Equities
CAC 40 — French Market Index
Nikkei 225 — Japan Benchmark
Hang Seng — Hong Kong Index
Shanghai Composite — China Mainland
ASX 200 — Australian Market
TSX Composite — Canada Index
Nifty 50 — India Large Cap
STI Index — Singapore Market
KOSPI — South Korea Index
Bovespa — Brazil Equities
JSE Top 40 — South Africa Index
IPC Index — Mexico Market
AED • EUR • GBP • USD IBANs   |   CROSS BORDER FX   |   LOCAL CURRENCIES   |   GLOBAL COVERAGE
CadUSD

USD/CAD drifts lower as improving risk sentiment pressures US Dollar

  • USD/CAD eases as the US Dollar Index falls to a one-week low.
  • Improving sentiment around a potential US-Iran de-escalation weighs on the Greenback, though risks around the Strait of Hormuz persist.
  • Strong US data fails to lift the USD, while Canada’s PMI signals stagnation, leaving the pair driven mainly by Dollar dynamics.

USD/CAD trades with a softer tone on Wednesday, as a pullback in the US Dollar (USD) lends support to the Canadian Dollar (CAD). The pair is trading around 1.3891 at the time of writing, retreating after touching its highest level since December 2025 earlier this week.

The US Dollar is under pressure as recent comments from US President Donald Trump suggesting the US-Iran war could end within “two or three weeks” have improved risk appetite and reduced demand for the Greenback as a safe-haven asset.

However, the situation remains far from resolved, with tensions still centered around the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Donald Trump said in a post on Truth Social that Iran’s leadership had requested a ceasefire, adding that Washington would consider it only if the Strait of Hormuz is “open, free and clear.” He warned that until then, the US would continue military operations.

Meanwhile, Iran pushed back on the claim, with a Foreign Ministry spokesperson saying that reports of Tehran requesting a ceasefire are false, according to Al Jazeera.

While hopes of de-escalation have pushed Oil prices lower from recent highs, they remain elevated compared to pre-conflict levels but have failed to provide meaningful support to the commodity-linked Loonie, leaving USD/CAD largely driven by US Dollar dynamics.

Meanwhile, stronger US economic data failed to provide support to the Greenback. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against a basket of six major currencies, is hovering near 99.40, close to a one-week low after touching ten-month highs of 100.64 on Monday.

The ISM Manufacturing PMI rose to 52.7 in March, beating expectations of 52.5 and improving slightly from the previous 52.4. The ADP Employment Change rose by 62K in March, beating expectations of 40K but easing from the previous reading of 66K (revised from 63K).

Retail Sales increased by 0.6% in February, surpassing forecasts of 0.5% and rebounding from a revised -0.1% decline in January (previously -0.2%).

In Canada, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI fell to 50 in March, down from 51 in February, signaling a stagnation in manufacturing sector performance.

On the monetary policy front, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said US monetary policy is “well positioned,” adding that holding interest rates steady is likely appropriate for some time.

Register a Revolut Business Account
```

Market Analysis & Disclaimer

The market information, analysis, commentary, forecasts and opinions contained in this publication are provided by Octalas Group Ltd on behalf of Today Markets and Currency Hedger using information and data obtained from sources believed to be reliable. However, Octalas Group Ltd, Today Markets and Currency Hedger do not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of the information presented and accept no responsibility for any loss or damage arising from reliance upon information contained herein, to the extent permitted by applicable law.

Market forecasts, expectations and opinions are based on analysis of available information and a number of assumptions regarding economic, financial, political and market conditions. Such assumptions may prove to be incorrect, and actual market developments may differ materially from those described or anticipated.

Nothing contained in this publication constitutes investment advice, financial advice, a personal recommendation, an offer, solicitation or invitation to buy, sell or otherwise transact in any financial instrument or investment product. The information is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation, experience or particular circumstances of any individual reader.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Financial markets, including foreign exchange, commodities, equities, derivatives and other financial instruments, involve risk and prices can move rapidly. Readers should conduct their own independent research and, where appropriate, obtain advice from an appropriately authorised financial professional before making any investment or trading decision.

Where this publication refers to Today Markets, it represents market news, research, analysis and commentary published for informational purposes. Where Currency Hedger is referenced, it represents commentary concerning foreign exchange, currency exposure, international payments and hedging-related topics. References to particular financial instruments, markets, companies, currencies or commodities should not be interpreted as a recommendation to transact in them.

Octalas Group Ltd, Today Markets and Currency Hedger may have commercial interests or relationships with businesses, financial-service providers, technology providers or other market participants mentioned in their publications. Where relevant, such relationships or interests may create potential conflicts of interest. Appropriate measures are intended to be taken to ensure that published analysis and commentary are presented objectively and that commercial considerations do not determine the substance of market analysis.

The views expressed in this publication are those of the author or contributors at the time of publication and may change without notice as market conditions develop. Readers should not assume that any information contained herein has been updated following publication.

Related Articles

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Back to top button