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Wheat prices climbed more than 2% to above $6.60 a bushel on Friday, bringing weekly gains to over 4%, the strongest performance since mid-July. The rally was driven by growing concerns over disruptions to Black Sea exports amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Russia and Ukraine remain critical to the global wheat market, together accounting for almost 30% of projected world wheat exports in the 2026/27 season, leaving prices particularly vulnerable to prolonged interruptions. Supply concerns intensified after Russia halted grain loadings at its main Black Sea and Azov Sea ports. Operations at all three major terminals in Novorossiysk have now been suspended following Ukrainian drone attacks earlier in the week. The disruptions could force Russia to reduce exports further this month, tightening global availability. However, there were signs of a possible diplomatic opening, with Ukraine reportedly proposing that both sides stop attacks on civilian targets in the Black Sea.
