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- USD/CAD rises as safe-haven demand boosted the US Dollar amid uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran peace talks in Doha.
- US envoys arrived in Qatar for Iran peace talks, but Tehran refused direct meetings, clouding prospects for a deal.
- The commodity-linked CAD struggles as Crude oil prices decline on easing supply concerns.
USD/CAD has recovered its recent losses from the previous day, trading around 1.4220 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) gains ground on safe-haven demand amid uncertainty over United States (US)-Iran Doha talks.
US negotiators Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff arrived in Qatar on Tuesday to meet with mediators regarding the implementation of an initial peace deal to end the conflict with Iran. However, Tehran stated it would not meet directly with the US envoys, clouding prospects for a lasting resolution and keeping geopolitical risk premiums alive in the market.
The Greenback received a boost from rising hawkish sentiment surrounding the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. At its June meeting, the Fed held its benchmark interest rate steady at a target range of 3.50% to 3.75% while notably removing language that hinted at future rate cuts. According to the CME FedWatch tool, Fed funds futures are now pricing in a nearly 63% chance of an interest rate hike by September.
The USD/CAD pair also rises as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) faces challenges due to lower oil prices. Crude oil prices decline as traders weigh in on potential peace talks in Doha between the US and Iran.
Both nations are working toward a lasting resolution to ease tensions in the Strait of Hormuz following recent military clashes. However, Tehran maintains its firm stance on controlling maritime traffic through the strategic waterway; both sides have halted their exchange of fire, allowing oil tanker traffic and shipments to steadily recover.
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