• USD/CHF rises as the Swiss Franc weakens ahead of KOF data, despite forecasts predicting an increase to 98.2.
• The US Dollar gains amid expectations of sustained higher interest rates.
• Persistent Middle East friction drives safe-haven demand for the Greenback.

USD/CHF recovers its recent losses from the previous day, trading around 0.8090 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. Traders await the KOF Swiss Leading Indicator due later in the day, which is expected to inch up to 98.2 in May, from 98.0 prior.

The USD/CHF pair gains ground as the US Dollar advances amid rising hawkish sentiment surrounding the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy trajectory. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders are now pricing in a nearly 60% probability of a Fed interest rate hike by September.

Traders are awaiting this week’s key US labor market reports, particularly Thursday’s Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, for definitive clues on the central bank’s next moves. Forecasters currently expect June job growth to land at 114,000, with the Unemployment Rate holding flat at 4.3%.

The Greenback gains safe-haven support from persistent geopolitical friction in the Middle East, though diplomatic signals remain highly conflicted. US President Donald Trump announced that the two nations were set to hold fresh peace talks on Tuesday in Doha, Qatar, following a weekend of regional hostilities. However, Tehran sharply contradicted this claim, stating that no negotiation meetings are scheduled with Washington at any level and emphasizing that Iran remains focused on implementing its existing memorandum of understanding rather than entering final agreement talks.

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