UK Gilt Yields Near 2008 High as Oil Surge Fuels Rate Hike Bets
UK 10-year gilt yields climbed toward 5.1%, approaching levels last seen in 2008, as soaring oil prices, driven by the ongoing US blockade of Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, heightened inflation concerns and led investors to anticipate further central bank tightening. Brent crude hit fresh four-year highs amid reports of potential US military action in Iran. The Bank of England is expected to keep rates unchanged today, reflecting caution over the Middle East crisis. However, markets still price in nearly three quarter-point BoE rate hikes in 2026. This follows the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold rates steady, though its meeting exposed deepening divisions, with four officials dissenting for the first time since October 1992, three of whom opposed the Fed’s signal of eventual rate cuts.
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