Germany’s 10-year Bund yield fell to 3.05% as investor sentiment improved on prospects of renewed US-Iran peace talks, with Pakistan offering to host further negotiations. However, the latest round of discussions in Islamabad ended without an agreement, prompting US President Donald Trump to impose a naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz. The possibility of a peace deal and the potential reopening of the Strait pushed oil prices below $100, temporarily easing inflation concerns. Yet, the Bund yield remains near 15-year highs, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures. Markets now anticipate a more hawkish European Central Bank, with traders pricing in at least two interest rate hikes by the end of 2026.

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