UK Gilt Yield Falls Below 5% as Oil Prices Ease Inflation Fears

The UK 10-year gilt yield fell below 5% as declining oil prices helped ease short-term inflation concerns. Brent crude retreated from two-month highs after the U.S. and Iran paused hostilities and resumed diplomatic contacts, prompting money markets to slightly scale back expectations for further monetary tightening. Investors now turn their attention to the Bank of England’s policy decision later this week, with policymakers widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged at 3.75%. Recent inflation data has reinforced that view, with annual consumer price growth slowing to a 15-month low of 2.6% in June, below the BoE’s forecasts. A delayed pass-through of higher wholesale energy costs to regulated household bills has also kept UK inflation below that of the U.S. and the euro area, where the European Central Bank is still expected to raise rates again in September or October.


