The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose above 4.25% on Monday, gradually moving higher as investors assessed the outlook for Federal Reserve policy under Kevin Warsh while awaiting a key jobs report. President Donald Trump nominated Warsh as the next Fed chairman on Friday, a move markets see as a more hawkish choice who would support lower interest rates, though less aggressively than other potential candidates. Warsh is also expected to rein in the Fed’s balance sheet, which could reduce money supply in the market. Traders continue to price in two Fed rate cuts this year under Warsh, though the FOMC remains divided over the pace and scale of further policy easing. Investors now turn to Friday’s monthly jobs report for fresh insights on the labor market.

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