CAD: BoC minutes expected to stay dovish – TD Securities
TD Securities analysts expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) Summary of Deliberations to reiterate a dovish tone, emphasizing Canada’s softer domestic backdrop and recent disinflation. They note that more excess supply and less broad-based inflation should give policymakers flexibility on rates, with markets watching how the Bank assesses inflation risks from higher Oil prices.
BoC seen reinforcing dovish narrative
“We look for the Bank of Canada’s Summary of Deliberations to maintain the more dovish tone from the March policy meeting by keeping an emphasis on the softer domestic backdrop and recent disinflationary progress, which should give the Bank more flexibility to look through stronger headline inflation over the near-term.”
“The minutes should maintain the emphasis on heightened uncertainty while noting there is more excess supply than projected in the Bank’s forecasts from January and that inflation pressures are less broad-based after the recent deceleration in CPI-trim/median.”
“We will be particularly focused on any discussion of risks to the near term rate path, and how the Bank will be evaluating the breadth and persistence of inflation pressures resulting from higher oil prices.”
S&P 500 — US Large Cap Index
FTSE 100 — UK Blue Chips
Euro Stoxx 50 — Eurozone Leaders
DAX 40 — German Equities
CAC 40 — French Market Index
Nikkei 225 — Japan Benchmark
Hang Seng — Hong Kong Index
Shanghai Composite — China Mainland
ASX 200 — Australian Market
TSX Composite — Canada Index
Nifty 50 — India Large Cap
STI Index — Singapore Market
KOSPI — South Korea Index
Bovespa — Brazil Equities
JSE Top 40 — South Africa Index
IPC Index — Mexico Market

