UK Gilt Yields Near Lows as Burnham Pledges Fiscal Discipline
UK 10-year gilt yields hovered around 4.73%, staying close to two-month lows, as bond markets absorbed Andy Burnham’s speech. Burnham, the sole candidate to succeed Keir Starmer, vowed to significantly devolve fiscal powers from Westminster to local authorities if elected, while maintaining fiscal discipline. In his first major speech after winning a Commons seat, Burnham criticized the UK’s “stark imbalance” between national and local government resources, calling it a barrier to growth. However, he refused to disclose potential ministerial appointments, stating he would announce them only after the Labour leadership contest concludes. Investors are also evaluating the impact of an interim US-Iran peace deal and shifting interest rate expectations in both the UK and US. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has lowered oil prices and inflation forecasts, reducing bets on Bank of England hikes, while the US Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance supports US rate increase expectations.

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